Hurricane Hermine is expected to cross the coast of Florida (in the Big Bend area around Suwanee River and Tallahassee) sometime tonight or early morning Friday. Hurricane HERMINE Public Advisory
If you don’t live in hurricane country (or you never have) it is hard to describe the slow-motion terror these things invoke. You usuaually have a week to “prepare,” and while that’s enough to get your house ready, I never found it enough to get myself prepared mentally.
At 800 PM EDT (0000 UTC), the center of Hurricane Hermine was
located near latitude 29.1 North, longitude 84.8 West. Hermine is
moving toward the north-northeast near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this
motion with a slight increase in forward speed is expected during
the next day or so. On the forecast track, the center of Hermine
should cross the coast of Florida in the hurricane warning area
tonight or early Friday.
That puts the center of the storm about 40 miles south of Apalachicola and about 100 miles south of Tallahassee, the state capital.
I don’t have access to the 24hr news feeds anymore, but I imagine that the Weather Channel is doing its usual, “Let’s camp out on the beach in the middle of the target area.” I suppose I could be wrong.
The proposed track (click on the image for a larger view) has it covering a good portion of the South as a Tropical Storm. I would expect a lot of flooding.
The central pressure in the eye of the storm is quite low, 983 millibars. It is a bit surprising that the wind-speed isn’t a little higher. But take what you can get. Low tide for today, and Apalachicola is at 11:30 PM (approx) and high tide is at 5:45 AM. So depending on a couple of factors it looks like the worst storm surge will not be ON TOP OF high tide.
Things are going to be bad in Florida for a while, and probably in Georgia as well. The news (except for the weather channel) will not give it the coverage it deserves, because the towns most impacted are going to be mostly small, rural communities. (Do you really expect a news team to go to Tallahassee, Florida?)