There is not much that qualifies as “good news.” As Numbers Soar, Here’s Everything We Don’t Know About the Coronavirus.
A lot of stories have covered how the Chinese have lied about the epidemic, even to themselves, because Truth has no purchase in a Communist/Socialist regime. 2+2=5.
We don’t know how many coronavirus cases there are. The Chinese authorities are producing daily figures of confirmed and suspected numbers—but there are clearly many more out there. Just how many is a big question. Neil Ferguson, a prominent epidemiologist, estimated last week that as few as 10 percent of cases could be being detected. Other early modeling also showed the possibility of startling underestimates; one study suggested the number of cases in Wuhan alone had reached 75,000 by Jan. 25.
They aren’t counting the sick. They aren’t counting the dead.
We don’t know exactly how deadly the virus is.
While the percentage of deaths among all known cases has remained steady in the official number at around 2.1 to 2.2 percent, there are several problems with that. Most of those diagnosed started experiencing symptoms only in the last week, and the disease hasn’t yet run its course. The number of deaths appears to be severely understated, with many reports of victims dying at home and being cremated before being counted in the official total. (Cremation is a contentious issue in China and not just during epidemics.)
It goes on. Why did the World Health Organization hold off on declaring an emergency? (They love their closeness with Beijing.) When China was in denial about human-to-human transmission, where did all those people who left Wuhan go? Why did China pressure other countries to not halt travel?
Most of FP is now behind a pay wall. They let you have “a taste” for free and then want you to pay. You can fight against it a bit, but it is beyond annoying. I get it. At one point you could get online access to FP via your local library, depending on the library, but that seems to be a thing of the past. My library has 1 copy of the paper version, at the main branch in downtown Cincinnati. Not convenient.