Where Would We Be Without Experts?

Go read the whole thing; it isn’t long. But I will highlight the stats, which caught my eye. COVID-19: The ‘Experts’ Are Clueless.

Something really went wrong in New York.

The per-capita death rate in Georgia remains 88% lower than New York’s; Florida’s rate is 93% lower and Texas is 96% lower.

Of course with more than 70,000 people per square mile, and a governor who set things up to kill old people in nursing homes, it’s hard to see how a virus wouldn’t ravage that city. And state.

CDC, COVID-19 and Math

Because they never published the stats. CDC warns antibody testing still too inaccurate to use for coronavirus-related policy decisions.

The math is the point, but the upshot is that about half of the positive antibody tests are false positives.

In other words, less than half of those testing positive will truly have antibodies.

It is crazy, that they are only telling us these stats now.

Keeping Violent Criminals in Jail is Unfair

So says the Left. Released Early Due To Coronavirus: Former Weld County Inmate Now Accused Of Strangulation.

A former Weld County Jail inmate, who was released early from a two year sentence due to COVID-19 concerns, is now accused of attacking and strangling someone one month after his release. The Windsor Police Department is now searching for Christopher A. Vecchiarelli, 36, after they say he attacked a woman, leaving bruises in several places and fracturing her arm.

Someone will say his infraction didn’t mean he should be exposed to COVID-19. Should the woman he attacked have had her arm broken?

Better Living Through Chemistry

Trust the science? Only if it is trustworthy. Canadian study finds that enzymes in cannabis could treat COVID-19.

It is actually a fairly thin conclusion, but I love the fact that it has been screamed from the rooftops by the likes of Atlanta Journal-Constitution and the BBC.

It is funded by a company that is in the Cannabis industry. It’s like a study on smoking funded by a tobacco giant.

The researchers in Alberta, Canada, conducted a study using artificial 3D models of oral, airway and intestinal tissues coupled with a limited sample of high CBD Cannabis sativa extracts modulate ACE2 gene expression and ACE2 protein levels.

The study hasn’t been peer-reviewed, though that may be coming, it won’t be here any time soon.

I am so very tempted to include a video here. Either “She Blinded Me With Science” or “Weird Science.” I’ll let you decide.

COVID-19 Death Rates Vary by Race in the UK

A RACIST virus. Labour calls for bosses to risk-assess staff given higher BAME Covid-19 death rate.

BAME is a British acronym for “Black and Minority Ethnic.” Those communities have a higher death-rate from the virus.

An Office for National Statistics study found that, if just considering age, black women were 4.3 times more likely to die from a Covid-19-related death, and black men 4.2 times more likely, than their white counterparts.

Once socio-demographic and self-reported health and disability factors were taken into account, black people were still twice as likely to be killed by coronavirus.

People of Bangladeshi, Pakistani, Indian and mixed ethnicity also had a higher risk of death compared with the white population.

Though they didn’t break out the numbers for those last groups.

New York vs West Virginia

One part travelog, one part dig at the smug jackholes on the East Coast. Dining at the Longbranch.

Thousands of New York nursing home patients have died because of Cuomo’s policy, while West Virginia is the only state in the country to have tested every nursing home resident for COVID-19. Tell me again, New Yorkers, how much smarter you are than these rustic hillbillies.

Heh.

Michigan Also Killing People In Nursing Homes

The governor must be taking cues from New York. Michigan considers change to controversial nursing home policy.

Gov. Gretchen Whitmer last week extended her Executive Order that placed coronavirus patients in with COVID-19 negative patients. It expires Wednesday. She’s now considering changing that policy.

Nursing home deaths account for about 30% of all COVID-19 deaths in Michigan.

How do governors have the authority to issue stupid orders, that clearly expose vulnerable populations to a deadly disease? Democrats are geniuses. Just ask them, they will tell you they are.

Bad Models Yield Bad Predictions

And this is about the model that has been used to predict the spread of COVID-19. Imperial College model Britain used to justify lockdown a ‘buggy mess’, ‘total unreliable’, experts claim.

Experts have derided the coding from Professor Neil Ferguson, warning that it is a “buggy mess that looks more like a bowl of angel hair pasta than a finely tuned piece of programming.”

“In our commercial reality, we would fire anyone for developing code like this and any business that relied on it to produce software for sale would likely go bust,” David Richards, co-founder of British data technology company WANdisco, told the Daily Telegraph.

The original article is at The London Telegraph, but like most of the Telegraph these days everything but the first few paragraphs are behind a pay wall. Neil Ferguson’s Imperial model could be the most devastating software mistake of all time.

Florida Hasn’t Seen a Resurgence of COVID-19

Democrats were sure that opening the state of Florida would result in DEATH. Hasn’t happened, but there have been other problems. ‘Out-of-Towners’ Blamed for ‘Mayhem’ After Florida City Re-Opens Beach.

First the DEATH predictions.

Democrats demonized DeSantis, with activist Daniel Uhlfelder touring Florida beaches dressed as the Grim Reaper to promote the message that the Republican governor’s decision would kill people.

And like Georgia, those predictions have fallen flat.

The problems in Naples (West Coast of Florida) seems to mostly be caused by folks from the East Coast of Florida, namely Miami, Broward and Palm Beach, because East Coast beaches are still closed. Click thru for descriptions of where Florida has problems with COVID-19, and what are Democratically controlled areas.

Political Correctness, Like Stupidity, Is Deadly

They didn’t want to face reality, and whole lot of people died. Sweden Cared More About Islamophobia Than Saving Elderly in Nursing Homes From Coronavirus.

Sweden has a higher rate of deaths in care homes than Norway or Finland, and lockdown enthusiasts have struggled to explain why keeping bars open would be killing people in housing for the elderly.

But there is a crucial difference between Swedish, Norwegian, and Finnish care homes.

It has to do with the number of immigrants working in care homes and one other thing.

“Many people said that this disease is only meant to kill for non-Muslims thus, it cannot affect Muslims,” a third Somali living in Sweden said. “I’ve watched shows from Somali National TV televised where the reporter asked people playing and socializing at Lido beach in Mogadishu if they are unaware of corona virus. So many of those people answered, ‘We are Muslims! This disease will only kill non-believers.’”

So maybe they just don’t care. Of course it being a disease, it is killing Muslims.

Politicians Bending the Truth?

I’m shocked – Shocked! – to discover… OK, I’m not that shocked. Colorado coroner says death listed by state as COVID-19 related has much more to do with alcohol.

The coroner of Montezuma County in southwestern Colorado couldn’t believe it when the state’s health department concluded a May 4 death in his county was the result of COVID-19.

“I know it’s not correct,” George Deavers told 9Wants to Know Thursday. “Nowhere on the death certificate is COVID even listed. It had nothing to do with his death.”

Deavers ought to know. The death certificate he signed just this week lists the official cause of death for the 35-year old man as “ethanol toxicity.”

But then the state doesn’t get extra money if all he did was drink himself to death.

Science Doesn’t Always Tell You What You Want to Hear

They keep telling us to trust science… Didier Raoult: Government Study in Spain finds Those Who Kept Working Were Less Infected Than Those in Lockdown.

Renowned French researcher and physician posted this study today from Spain that found those who were essential workers and were out working actually were less infected than those who were cooped up at home in lockdown.

The lockdowns didn’t work as intended in Spain.

So does that mean that the .gov will look at that science and stop acting like the Stazi on a power trip? I’m not holding my breath.

It’s like the study that shows smoking protects against COVID-19… They couldn’t silence that faster if they tried. Smokers ‘four times less likely’ to contract Covid-19, prompting nicotine patch trials on patients. That would undo decades of “public health.”

New York City Responsible for the Mess of COVID-19 in the US

Well, not as responsible as China. Travel From New York City Seeded Wave of U.S. Outbreaks.

The research indicates that a wave of infections swept from New York City through much of the country before the city began setting social distancing limits to stop the growth. That helped to fuel outbreaks in Louisiana, Texas, Arizona and as far away as the West Coast.

Granted, it is probably fairly difficult for NYC to achieve much in the way of social distancing. With more than 72,000 people per square mile, Manhattan probably can’t do much about it. But I’m not sure they even tried. Subway cars were jammed. Subway cars were not cleaned everyday. The politicos, eager to prove how much they hated Trump, encouraged all kinds of insanity. Later it would all be Trump’s fault, but that would come later.

The Media Hates Any Governor Who Is Not a Democrat

Or a Democratic-Stalinist. And reporting the news is such a 20th Century idea. Media Attack Gov. Kristi Noem For Not Panicking And Destroying Her State.

And Cuomo gets a pass even though he made mistakes around nursing homes (sending sick people there to infect others), ignoring the complete lack of social distancing in NYC and on the subways in particular, requesting a bunch of ventilators that never got used, and host of other things because he hates Trump. And the reporters hate trump and objectivity is another 20th Century concept.

The target of their hatred is South Dakota governor, Kristi Noem.

The media sense that they will face less scrutiny for their preferred policy position if they can remove sane alternative policy approaches from the table. To that end, Noem and others who reject the mandatory, long-term, government-forced shutdown model as the preferred option for their states must be condemned.

The WaPo screamed (in April) that South Dakota’s refusal to become a Stalinist dictatorship had given them “one of the nation’s largest coronavirus hot spots.”

The article, which was tweeted out by the New York Times’ Ken Vogel, CNN’s Jake Tapper, NBC News’ Sahil Kapur, the Washington Post’s Glenn Kessler, MSNBC’s Rachel Maddow and many others, was written at the time that South Dakota had 6 deaths. As of May 3, the number had risen to 21. The outbreak was at a Smithfield pork processing facility that even the most stringent of state lockdowns would have deemed an essential business to allow to keep open in preservation of the country’s food supply.

Modelers predicted South Dakota would need 10,000 beds if no government order were put in place and nothing were done to stop the spread of Coronavirus. While no government stay-at-home order has been put in place and Noem has simply encouraged citizens of the state to make good decisions, the latest prediction is that the state will need a peak total of 127 beds on June 20.

As they say, go read the whole thing.

The Law of Unintended Consequences

The more they try to control things, the more out-of-control things become. ‘Incomprehensible’: Confrontations over masks erupt amid COVID-19 crisis.

You keep using that word (in this case “incomprehensible”); I don’t think it means what you think it means. With apologies to Mandy Patinkin…

And I’m sorry, but the governor of Michigan – or any state – shouldn’t have to tell you to exercise reasonable caution. Which at this point includes some kind of mask in a crowded location. I can’t make you agree. I can’t make you do anything. I can only say, you’re an adult; start acting like one, and stop acting like a spoiled child who doesn’t want to eat his vegetables.

The worst example is a security guard in Flint Michigan who was shot and killed because he told a few people they needed to wear a mask in a Dollar Store. The media tried to paint this as Trump’s fault and the actions of white supremacists, before the booking photos were released, and then it pretty much disappeared from the news, at least for a bit. Even the linked article doesn’t give any info on the three people arrested. Protect the narrative!

Then there was the senior citizen who threw a two-year-old’s temper tantrum. When told he had to wear a mask, he wiped his nose on an employee’s tee-shirt. I would have decked him, or at least done my best to break his nose. She just stood there. Women really need to learn how to throw a punch or kick a knee. If she had kicked his knee, for attacking her – he is currently charged with assault and battery – that should have been justified self-defense, and he would be down for a long time. (Knee surgery is currently listed as an “elective surgery.”) As it is, he is on house arrest. They should have charged him with felony assholeishness, but maybe that isn’t part of the criminal code.

The country is currently in the state it’s in, because the not-so-good-people of NYC couldn’t be bothered about social distancing. Maybe it isn’t possible, but they didn’t seem to try, cramming into subway cars like it was no big deal. And the geniuses who manage that city couldn’t be bothered to clean subway cars on a reasonable basis because “that’s the way we’ve always done it” overrides common sense more often than you would believe.

The Media Keeps Hoping That COVID-19 Will Hit Red States

But like most contagious disease, this one hits cities harder than rural areas. They keep hoping that isn’t true. Blue-State Media Continue Wishcasting Coronavirus Epidemic in Red States.

While you should read the whole article, the stats are what caught my eye. The data is at this link, though Firefox wouldn’t open it, and I had to resort to the Pale Moon browser. (That may have something to do the way I have Firefox set up for privacy; it does occasionally trip over something.)

However many new cases emerge as a result of ending the lockdown in Tennessee or Texas, it is impossible that these states will ever eclipse New York as the “epicenter” of the pandemic, in terms of per-capita death rates, simply because (a) the conditions enabling transmission of the virus are not equal and (b) New York has such an enormous head start in the cumulative death toll. Here are the highest per-capita death rates, expressed as deaths per million population:

New York ………………….. 1,227
New Jersey …………………. 849
Connecticut ………………… 653
Massachusetts ……………. 544
Louisiana ………………….. 422
Michigan …………………… 388
District of Columbia …… 337

And here are the rates for other selected states:

Georgia ……………………. 113
Ohio …………………………. 86
Florida ……………………… 64
North Carolina …………… 41
Tennessee ………………….. 31
Texas ………………………… 30

The Other McCain discusses the difference between these rates.

Media Bias? What Media Bias?

Oh My God Karen, You Can’t Just Say You Hope People Die of COVID-19

The Compassion of the Left™ is astounding. Hamilton teacher caught on tape telling students she hopes they ‘die’ of coronavirus.

A math teacher at Steinert High School was caught on video this week shouting at a group of teenagers playing football in the park that they should “die a long, painful death” from the coronavirus.

Because she couldn’t accept the fact that someone was

  1. Having fun
  2. Not bowing down to her authority

So she reacted like every Karen in the world would react.

Hat tip to The Other McCain, who has so much more on the Coronavirus outbreak. And I know the title of this post comes from a VERY old meme; you can blame The Other McCain for that. (Next up, “Yo Dawg” and “She wants to speak to the manager.”)

I Guess This Means The Lockdown Will Never End

Because public transit wasn’t “safe” even before COVID-19, and it isn’t getting better. Making public transit safe next hurdle in easing lockdowns.

Before I get into the AP article linked above, take a look at these photos, from Twitter.

Now I don’t know how recent some of those photos are, but one is clearly from after the start of the pandemic. And there are plenty of stories about how the trains are “filthier than ever” if you look. ‘They Are Transporting This Virus’: MTA Subway Conductors Say Trains Are Filthier Than Ever Amid Coronavirus Pandemic – CBS New York.

So keep that in mind as we now turn to the original article at the top…

There are some things that can be done, but they are not without a cost.

The Dutch national railway began bringing longer trains back into service to make it easier for passengers to stay apart.

Cars need to be cleaned. More cars mean more hours to clean. Equipment needs maintenance and repair. More use leads to more repair.

The capacity of Milan’s metro system will be slashed to just 350,000 passengers a day, compared with 1.3 million on normal workdays.

So what will the other 900,000 riders do? If they get in their cars to drive to work (those that can/do have cars) the Green Police will scream. The solution proposed by Milan, doesn’t quite amount to more government control of the lives of people in the city. Not quite. And that is in Milan, where the vestiges of Western Civilization haven’t completely vanished. Look again a the photos in that Tweet above.

Now let’s look at that 2nd article from CBS.

The MTA has been urging that only essential workers who rely on mass transit ride the subway during the pandemic, and service has been cut to about 75%.

But one conductor, who asked to remain anonymous, says that’s only making the trains less sanitary.

“Because we have less trains to work with, the homeless in the system congregate on fewer trains, so it’s way more evident now than it’s ever been,” the conductor told CBS2’s Ali Bauman. “It’s causing a hazard to MTA employees and the people that we have to transport during this time.”

Trash piled everywhere. People urinating on the trains. Feces. In other words, you can see the complete breakdown of civilization.

NYPD admits that things are out of control. Even through the spin, that much comes through. And de Blasio is deflecting, or trying to.

And lest there be any doubt, the bleeding hearts, who care more about the homeless and their “plight” than the hardworking people of NYC who need to get work are already saying any enforcement by the NYPD is a bad thing. (And the NYPD is trying, but it is a losing battle.)

Where Is This Crisis You Speak Of?

Because nothing says “we’re overworked,” like hospital employees with time to do stupid TikTok Videos. Locomotive Breath brings us Morning Coffee – ‘Virus war’: dance routines, empty beds and layoffs.

Yeah, NYC has been slammed. And nursing homes are fighting a valiant fight, but it sure looks like a lot of folks have time on their hands.

Courtesy of Locomotive Breath, a collection of some images, videos, and links to the insanity, as well as some actual news on the situation.

Early April: Washington State Returns Unused Army Hospital As COVID-19 Curve Flattens

“One problem was the plan for the Army hospital to take only patients without COVID-19, which was supposed to free up beds in civilian hospitals for those who did have the disease. But civilian hospitals in the Seattle area have canceled so many elective procedures that bed space is no longer an urgent problem.

It all needs to be reevaluated.

You Do NOT Have the Right to Protest

Not in California. Forget about the 1st Amendment, you do NOT have the right to Peaceably Assemble. You have the right to do exactly what they tell you to do. Encinitas, Ca., Protesters Threatened With Legal Action For Daring To Protest.

It seems the peasants were protesting overreach by the .gov, which didn’t make the overreaching-bureaucrats happy.

If you are doing any of these things within the parameters of social distancing, what’s the problem? Oh, right, power mad little dictator wannabees (who’ve forgotten there are these things called “elections”). So, the people protested, as allowed by the federal and state constitutions.

Of course the way to get out of trouble is to claim to be an illegal alien, because they have special rights in San Diego County.

Yes, San Diego County is a sanctuary jurisdiction. But, hey, why not put these ladies in jail for following the Constitution, while releasing all sorts of criminals, including a killer?

More protests are planned, and you can bet lawsuits will emerge if the county dares to fine or prosecute. Heck, they should file a suit just on the threats by the sheriff alone