Jacksonville, Florida 2019 Murders

And statistics are sexist. And racist. 2019 was Jacksonville’s deadliest year in decades.

While it’s still possible police may discover more homicides that occurred in 2019, increasing these numbers even higher, as of the end of New Year’s Eve, Jacksonville had seen 158 homicides, the highest number since the Times-Union began keeping track in 2006.

Oh, and we’re confused…

We obviously don’t know why Jacksonville’s homicides have been rising or why in 2019 it continued to rise.

No, we have no clue. It couldn’t be the war on police, that started in 2015 or 2016. It couldn’t be drugs or anything like that… We’re just baffled.

As for the sexist/racist nature of reality…

For one: the increase in Jacksonville’s homicides is entirely driven by male victims. The number of female victims actually decreased from 2018. In 2019, 132 men died from homicides in Jacksonville, compared to 99 in 2018.

While Jacksonville’s overall homicide rate is higher than elsewhere in Florida, the homicide rate among black men is even higher. One in 6,151 Jaxsons were killed in 2019 compared to one in 1,386 black men.

So if black men are more likely to be the victims of murder, how is fighting crime racist, if it saves black men? I am really confused. Maybe someone on the Left can explain how saving of black lives would be racist.

And I’m appalled that women are not equal with men in all things. Even bad things. </sarcasm>.

Cleveland’s New Years

Chicago, Baltimore, and then St. Louis and now Cleveland. 13 people shot in violent nine-hour stretch late New Year’s Eve, early New Year’s Day in Cleveland.

A 31-year-old woman killed by celebratory gunfire and four people injured outside a nightclub are among 13 people shot during a nine-hour stretch late New Year’s Eve and early New Year’s Day in Cleveland, police said.

The violent end to 2019 and start to 2020 included at least 10 separate shootings between 6 p.m. Tuesday and 3 a.m. Wednesday, police said.

Happy New Year: St. Louis Style

In all the attention paid to Chicago and Baltimore, it seems that St. Louis may have been overlooked. St. Louis records 4 homicides in first 3 hours of 2020.

Only a few hours into 2020 and Missouri’s second largest city recorded four homicides in multiple shootings across St. Louis.

And I was going to comment on the fact that Chicago’s first shooting of 2020 came at 12:15 AM, on the morning of January 1st. Seems St. Louis is winning (or losing, depending on your point of view) that race.

A quick search turned up St. Louis’s crime-rate data for 2018. In that year St. Louis had a murder rate of 60.9 per 100,000. That is just a bit worse than Baltimore, though Baltimore gets all of the press. Back to the link at the top, we find…

In 2019, St. Louis recorded 194 homicides, up from 186 in 2018.

So the murder rate is almost certainly higher than 2018.

And in case you were wondering about the politics in St. Louis, the last Republican mayor of that city was Aloys P. Kaufmann. He left office in 1949.

“Unexpectedly” Baltimore’s Murder Rate Goes Up

Because keeping police out of violent communities is sure to make some people happy. Just not everyone. Baltimore Residents Now Upset At Soaring Homicide Rates After City Acted On BLM Demands To Limit Police Presence In Certain Communities.

If you’re confused on the subject of Baltimore, look up the Freddie Grey incident from 2015. The riots, as always destroyed the parts of the city where the upset people live.

Because whenever Liberal policies result in completely foreseeable consequences, the media and the politicrats are shocked to discover that “water is wet.”

Following the anti-police riots, city officials seemingly gave in to the Black Lives Matter demands, and have enacted policies that would limit the presence of police officers in neighborhoods like the one in which Freddie Gray was arrested.

The apparent result is a skyrocketing of homicides and the creation of an atmosphere in which it is no longer safe for citizens to walk down the street. With the weakened police presence in high-crime rate areas, much like when ISIS filled the vacuum left behind when Obama withdrew American troops from the Middle East, gangs of roving thugs have made it their priority to terrorize their communities.

Black Lives Matter can now celebrate in achieving its goal as Baltimore has now broken the national record for homicides with 55.8 killings per 100,000 people.

For comparison purposes. Chicago has a crime rate of about 18.5 per 100,000 residents. (It depends on the population numbers you use, and the homicide numbers, and the Chicago PD has been under pressure to cook the books on homicide, and clearance, but then there is always HeyJackass!) New York City (based on the Compstat numbers, and Wiki population data) has a crime rate of 3.7 per 100,000.

The country of Venezuela has a murder rate of about 56.3 per 100,000, and Honduras has a rate of 41.7 per 100,000 according to The World Atlas.

Now for reasons I don’t understand, the link at the top is mostly to 2017 data. But 2019 data exists – it comes from the Baltimore Sun: 2019 closes with 348 homicides in Baltimore, second deadliest year on record. 2nd to 1993 when the city had a population larger than it does today (by about 125,000 people).

The year had already set a grim record of 57 killings per 100,000 people, the city’s worst homicide rate on record. Then, killings went on for eight more days.

Press conferences were held where officials promised “new efforts to catch killers,” because the clearance rate is about 31 percent.

Not happy with the results they have achieved to date, BLM wants more. (Back to the first link at the top…)

However, chapters of the Black Lives Matter movement, including Baltimore and Chicago, have issued demands to have the police forces in each city abolished completely.

Be careful what you wish for because sometimes you just might get it.

And of course, Murder isn’t the only crime impacted by the policing vacuum, it just seems to be the only one that gets any attention.

Hat tip to Second City Cop, who wants to know, “What did they think was going to happen?”

‡ The “water is wet” line is not quite a quote from “The Gods of the Copybook Headings” by Rudyard Kipling. It is in full after the break.

Continue reading

Chicago & Baltimore: A Tale of Two Cities

But hey, they are woke. Or something. The bloody toll from Baltimore, Chicago’s soft-on-crime mindset. And don’t expect the national media to reflect on how two Democratic-run cities have become such crime disasters.

There were two mass-shootings on Sunday: One in Chicago, the other in Baltimore. So what is the cause?

In Baltimore the poverty rate is down, unemployment is down. In Chicago, public school spending (per pupil) increased a bit more than 20 percent in the past decade.

The more likely culprits of elevated violence: (1) sharp cuts in incarceration, (2) prosecutorial retreat from low-level offenses and drug laws and (3) the alienation of each city’s most capable guardians: cops.

Both states have been reducing incarceration. Dramatically. And Cook County, Illinois State’s Attorney Crimeshea Kim Foxx has decided not to prosecute a whole raft of “low-level” crimes. Which, “unexpectedly” caused those crimes to skyrocket. (It is sort of the exact opposite of Broken Windows.)

A third of Baltimore homicide suspects in 2017 committed their alleged offenses while on probation or parole, despite having an average of nearly 10 prior arrests. In Chicago, those arrested for shootings or homicides in 2015-16 had an average of 12 prior arrests.

Because expecting the state to keep violent criminals in prison is unfair. Or something.

Hat tip to Second City Cop who says it is a Policy With a Body Count.

Statistics Are Racist

Which I suppose means that reality itself is racist and will need to be outlawed. Or something. Wrong Questions/Conclusions: Second City Cop.

Every time we see the ACLU start to spout this nonsense, we always ask:

  • Why are 80-to-85% of the homicides committed by black offenders?

After all, if we’re only supposed to stop black people based on their population, then it only follows that crime numbers should be exactly proportional, too. Right? But they aren’t. Imagine that.

And you have a dozen black aldercreatures DEMANDING increased police presence where 85% of the homicides and shootings are happening. What are the cops supposed to do? You get angry when CPD stops people (and folks), you get angry when we tell everyone to stay fetal.

You can ask similar questions about victims. But then as I said, statistics are racist. And you can find the best Chicago statistics at HeyJackass! And Chicago hits the magic 500 number for 2019 homicides, not counting police and justifiable self-defense.

Breakdown of Order in Baltimore and Chicago

So this all started because I was embroiled in a discussion about the general breakdown of order. Looking into the situation in both Chicago and Baltimore, is disheartening. Crime rates are approaching or surpassing levels only seen in failed states, or states still dealing with the after effects of civil war. So maybe our inner-cities are failed states. Maybe they are embroiled in civil wars.

International Crime statistics are hard to have much faith in. They can vary pretty dramatically depending on where you find them, but using The World Atlas, whose numbers agree with other sources, Chicago has a murder rate similar to South Sudan and Côte d’Ivoire, while Baltimore has a murder rate on par with El Salvador. (Details below) And yet other parts of the country are fairly safe. I don’t pretend to know how to “fix” this. I just know that I don’t want to live in a place that has crime levels you see in South Sudan, or Baltimore.

With enough force, you could probably “impose order” on Baltimore and Chicago. I don’t think that is the answer in the long term. I am sure that doing more of the same, or just “feeling bad” about the situation isn’t going the change anything. Holding hands and singing “Give Peace a Chance” also isn’t going to work. (“Kumbaya” is too religious for the Left today!) What we have to do is face up to reality. And by “we” I mean the entire country. Left and Right, though I really don’t think that is going to happen in the near future.

So here are the statistics:

The FBI released the final edition of Crime in the US for 2018. It used to be called the Uniform Crime Report, but if people didn’t change things, what would they do to justify their enormous salaries? It is worth knowing where to find those stats, because people who operate mostly on emotion, hate it when you provide statistics. They will not refute them, and usually resort to calling math racist.

The USA as a whole in 2018 had a national “Murder, and non-negligent homicide rate” of 5.0 per 100,000. Crime in the US, 2018 Table 4.

From the same table:

Ohio had a rate of 4.8 per 100,000 residents.

South Dakota had a rate of 1.4 per 100,000 (not sure where they stand today, but about a decade ago they had the HIGHEST rate of Concealed Carry license holders in the nation)

For the city level numbers, I went to current year, since data for both Chicago and Baltimore are available.

Chicago has a population of 2,695,598 or 2,705,994 depending on which numbers you use. Via the Wiki.

Chicago has had 476 homicides in 2019, According to HeyJackass! (The best Chicago statistics available.) Now I know math is hard but that means Chicago has a homicide rate of between 17.6 and 17.65 per 100,000. (And yes, since it isn’t the end of the year, the rates in both Chicago and Baltimore will be understated. It still makes my point.)

Baltimore has a population of 602,495 or 620,961 (depending on the numbers you use), once again according to the Wiki.

Baltimore has had 300 murders this year. Once again, doing the math, we find that Baltimore has a murder rate per 100,000 residents of between 48.3 and 49.8. Which is obscene.

The Baltimore stats are pulled from the CBS affiliate in Baltimore, which has another story on how the mayor of that city doesn’t think he (or other leadership) is responsible in anyway for the breakdown of order. ‘I’m Not Committing The Murders’ | Baltimore Mayor Jack Young Says Leadership Not To Blame As City Approaches 300 Homicides. Which I take it to mean that he has no plan for what to do to fix this mess.

I wish I knew how to fix the crime rate. I don’t. People talk about education, but Chicago spends a lot on its public schools. I’m not sure they get much return on that investment. People talk about jobs, but Chicago (which I know more about than I do about Baltimore) is raising taxes, left and right, and generally making it an uninviting place for business. New York City’s recent go-around with Amazon would seem to suggest that cities don’t want those eeeevil capitalists to create jobs for their people.

The math: the ratio of total murders to total population is equal to the ratio of the murder rate to 100,000. So the murder rate = 100,000 X (total murders)/(total population). It is only middle school math, after all.

I originally dumped these statistics in the comments on a post about crime in Baltimore. Which has been especially bad the past few years. They really did deserve a place of their own.

Solving Murders (Or Not) in Minneapolis

JusticeI’m shocked that things are getting worse for police in a progressive city. As homicides rise in Minneapolis, arrest rate drops.

Minneapolis mirrors a national trend: While homicides and other violent acts have declined for years in most cities, police are solving fewer of those crimes.

There are lots of reasons, but foremost – even in the Star Tribune’s coverage – is that the people no longer cooperate with cops. They put a liberal spin on it, but hey, it’s their city.

L.A. Seems Shocked that Crime is on the Rise

Because crime is not supposed to impinge of the Progressive Center of the City. Or something. Homicides on the Rise in Downtown.

Since the start of August, eight people have been killed within the Central City. Overall, the killing marked the 15th homicide in Downtown since the start of the year, which has already surpassed last year’s mark of 13 at this time.

But it’s better than it was a few years ago, so that’s OK then.

The Breakdown of Order in Baltimore Continues

They are on pace for a bad year in Baltimore. Baltimore hits 300 homicides for fifth year in a row.

Two people were killed in front of a grocery store on Nov. 13.

Their deaths marked the city’s fifth consecutive year with at least 300 homicides. The staggering total has become an unofficial milestone in Baltimore’s annual struggle to quell the deadly violence.

For a city Baltimore’s size, that is a staggering number of homicides. (Hat tip to Shot in the Dark.)

And it isn’t just murders. Other crime is also on the rise. Carjackings spike continues in Baltimore, with incidents up 30% from this time last year.

Between 2014 and 2018, the number of carjackings more than tripled, and they’re up again this year.

There have been more than 400 carjackings across Baltimore through Sept. 28, up 29 percent from last year, according to police data. Other auto thefts, while far more common, are down 8.6%.

When do things get so bad, that the people demand a change? I’m sure somehow this is situation is all the Republicans’ fault or Trump’s fault, (according to the Democrats) but that will be hard to sell to anyone who considers that last Republican mayor of Baltimore left office in 1967.

Sweden Has a Problem with Bombs

They keep exploding all over the country. Swedish police chief: No international equivalent to Sweden’s wave of bombings.

The bomb squad has been called in 100 bombings this year.

Regularly placed near the top of the UN’s Human Development Index and among the world’s richest countries in terms of GDP per capita, the Scandinavian country is facing an unusual challenge as bombings become a regular occurrence.

And it isn’t just bombings, though they do seem to attract a lot of attention.

Sweden’s main daily Dagens Nyheter also reported in October that deadly shootings of men aged 20 to 29 had increased by 200 percent between 2014 and 2018.

The illegal drug is blamed for most of the violence, and the proliferation of the gangs.

Baltimore’s Murder Problem Shows No Sign of Improvement

They are on track to have more murders than last year. Man killed in Waverly, Baltimore police say, as city nears 300 homicides for 2019.

Baltimore with an (estimated) population of 620,500 has had 296 homicides this year. That is a rate of 47.7 per 100,000 people.

Chicago with an (estimated) population of 2,706,000 has had 450 homicides this year (according to HeyJackass!, who has the best Chicago stats). That’s a rate of about 16.6 per 100,000. Not that Chicago is exactly winning the war on crime.

The pace of violence is ahead of last year, during which 309 people were killed. This year would be the fifth straight in which the city surpasses the 300 mark.

Sweden Used To Be a Very Safe Country

Sadly that has changed. Trend in gang crime bombings rock Sweden.

In the past week alone, a bomb exploded in a stairwell in a Malmo apartment building, an explosive device was found outside a shopping centre in the southern town of Kristianstad, and a blast rocked the balcony at a block of flats in Hassleholm in southern Sweden.

While few of the blasts have caused serious injuries, the national bomb squad has been called out to investigate 99 explosions in the first 10 months of the year.

Grenades were very popular in the past few years, but for whatever reason, the gangs seem to be switching to homemade devices.

“If you are under the age of 40, you’ve never been safer than you are today”

But that is no way to make people afraid! America’s Safest Cities.

The ranking of the cities is a bit interesting, but the start of the article is what the media is trying desperately to ignore.

There were 369 violent crimes reported for every 100,000 Americans in 2018, nearly the lowest violent crime rate in the United States in more than three decades. In an interview with 24/7 Wall St., John Roman, a senior fellow with NORC at the University of Chicago, an independent social research institution, explained that the latest crime statistics reflect an encouraging continuation of a long-term trend.

“If you are under the age of 40, you’ve never been safer than you are today,” Roman said.

Hat tip to 19th Ward Chicago, who has also reminded me that the final version of the FBI’s Crime in the US report for 2018 has been released. I will have to dive into it, since I haven’t done so in a number of years.

The list of safest cities can be found at this link; it starts with Boca Raton, Florida in 50th place.

September in Chicago

I do love statistics, though not these so much. HeyJackass! (Illustrating Chicago Values) has September Wrap-up.

Warmer weather allowed for a steady stream of stupid to run up the highest homicide tally since May’s 57.

September 2019: 51 killed, 214 wounded
September 2018: 49 killed, 207 wounded

There were 4 selfies, and #11ShotInTheAss. Click thru for racial breakdown of the victims, and by gender. And the number of teens shot and killed.

Security Increased in NYC Ahead of High Holidays

Antisemitic hate crimes continue to be a problem in NYC. Youths Knock Shtreimels Off Jews in Williamsburg.

This article is most interesting (to me anyway) because of the statistics.

At an annual pre-High Holidays briefing at NYPD headquarters last week, Deputy Inspector Mark Molinari said there had been 301 hate crimes reported in the city through mid-September, compared to 217 in the same period of 2018. Of those crimes, 155 have been against Jews, compared with 97 in the comparable period last year.

Over 80% of the anti-Semitic incidents have been property crimes, the vast majority of which included the scrawling of swastikas.

The Lamestream Media hasn’t been giving these crimes much attention because narratives must be preserved.

So when NYPD arrests two African American “youths” [cue accent from My Cousin Vinny] the media isn’t that interested. NYPD Arrests Williamsburg Teens for Assaults on Orthodox Jews.

The two boys, both aged 13, are suspected of being part of a group that threw a metal pipe into the window of Volkan shul on Franklin Ave.

They were also knocking hats off Jewish men and boys. Because civil society is gone.

Chicago Schools Fail to Protect Students from Sexual Abuse

The Left is always screaming about protecting the kids, but they didn’t seem motivated to protect kids in this case. ‘Extraordinary and appalling’ handling of sexual violence cases in Chicago Public Schools leads to federal oversight.

The civil rights office opened a systemic investigation concerning whether CPS had failed to promptly and accurately respond to complaints of sexual harassment and assault.

The civil rights office concluded that the district violated Title IX by failing to properly respond to such complaints, citing the two specific cases along with a broad statement that the district had systemically failed to respond properly to other complaints involving both adult-on-student and student-on-student sexual harassment.

“What we found was a system that was broken and in disarray,” Marcus said.

A Chicago bureaucracy in disarray? Color me shocked.

The original Tribune report can be found at the following link: Betrayed.

After the Tribune threatened to file a lawsuit to force public disclosure of basic CPS documents and data related to sexual misconduct, the district acknowledged that its Law Department had investigated 430 reports that school employees had sexually abused, assaulted or harassed students since 2011.

Administrators. Teachers. Coaches. And even the ones who weren’t actually attacking students, were subjecting victims to repeated interrogations, and inflicting emotional pain. But hey, they love kids; that’s why they’re in education.

Ineffective background checks exposed students to educators with criminal convictions and arrests for sex crimes against children. And CPS failed to disclose to other districts that past employees had resigned after investigators found credible evidence of abuse and harassment.

Because once they get rid of a bad-actor, it isn’t their problem anymore. And here I thought that all those cop-shows where the bad teachers went from district to district were over the top fabrications.

Labor Day Weekend in Chicago

Summer in Chicago went out with a bang. (Yes. I went there.) HeyJackass! brings us Summer’s Finale.

Labor Day weekend means yet another Summer Shooting Season is drawing to a close. Since opening day on Friday, May 24th, we’ve tallied 154 homicides plus another 850+ shot & wounded. This particular weekend, like other holiday weekends, tend to be stupider than most, so we’ll no doubt be adding to those totals before it’s all over. [Note: This paragraph was written on Friday. Z-Deb.]

Final Stupidity Tally: 10 killed, 40 wounded
2018 Labor Day weekend: 11 killed, 21 wounded
2017 Labor Day weekend: 7 killed, 40 wounded
2016 Labor Day weekend: 13 killed, 53 wounded

The long weekend, as it fits into the calculations at HeyJackass! runs from 12 noon on Friday, until 6 AM on Tuesday.

It’s a shame really. It used to be a great city. Now it’s a mess.

The Continuing Decline of Health Care in the UK

Foreign doctors are revealed to be behind 60% of all sex assaults on patients – but NHS wants fewer of them taken to disciplinary hearings.

because if you don’t apportion hearings by racial quotas, you are being unfair. Or something.

But there is concern that setting arbitrary targets could let medics who pose a real threat to patients escape investigation. J. Meirion Thomas, a retired consultant surgeon who worked in the NHS for 30 years, said: ‘Complaints of sexual misconduct, and other matters against doctors, should be assessed irrespective of ethnicity. Applying any other criteria risks that some complaints may not be properly investigated.’

At least someone still has his British head screwed on straight. No surprise that he’s retired. (Hat tip to Ninety Miles from Tyranny.)

What Happens When You Disarm a Population, and Then Cut Police Support?

You get lawlessness and the breakdown of order. And no, this isn’t about California. Winnipegger turns to confrontation as police response times grow for property crimes.

About a Canadian who found a man in his backyard. The intruder produced a knife and lunged. In Texas, or Florida, or a dozen other states, that guy would be dead. But Canada is to “civilized” (read that as “domesticated”) to allow its citizens (subjects?) to be armed in their own defense.

The reason that the guy was tired of waiting on police?

Winnipeg police have commented numerous times over the past several months that their resources are being stretched thin.

They are dealing with “The increasing number of bizarre and dangerous incidents due to people believed high on meth.” 911 response time to a property crime is now measured in days. Which means, of course, that property crime is also on the rise.

Now Winnipeg has long way to go before it becomes Baltimore, New Orleans or Chicago, but the trends are clearly going in the wrong direction.