Deaths in College Football in 2017

Robert Grays and Clayton Geib both died as a result (apparently) of games played this past Saturday. Tyler Heintz died in June due to heat stroke. Saturday was one of the deadliest for college football in decades – CBSSports.com

Robert Grays died Tuesday after suffering a neck injury in Saturday’s game between Midwestern State (Grays’ team) and Texas A&M-Kingsville.

Clayton Geib died on Monday after suffering cramping and hyperventilating after Saturday’s game between College of Wooster (Geib’s team) and Ohio Wesleyan. I don’t believe a cause of death has been announced.

Tyler Heintz of Kent State died on June 13, after the second day of conditioning drills in summer practice. The coroner ruled death as a result of extertional heat stroke.

Two more off-season deaths are mentioned, but I can’t find any detail on them right now (and I don’t have the time to search… If anyone knows please post in the comments.)

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Hurricane Irma

When a major hurricane hits land, one of the first things (usually) to fail is the phone system, cellular and legacy. So the preparations include amateur radio. ARES Teams in Three West Central Florida Section Counties Ready to Support Shelters. Though amazingly that didn’t happen in Houston.

Amateur Radio Emergency Service (ARES) teams have been requested to provide communication support at evacuation shelters in Highlands, Hillsborough, and Polk counties.

Additional communications equipment has been staged to those west Florida areas in case the communications systems really fails (Hamaid.com).

The National Hurricane Center (NHC), has issued a hurricane watch for the Florida peninsula from Jupiter Inlet southward and around the peninsula to Bonita Beach, including the Florida Keys, Lake Okeechobee, and Florida Bay. A storm surge watch has been issued for the Florida peninsula from Jupiter Inlet southward and around the peninsula to Bonita Beach, including the Florida Keys

I can’t find the spaghetti charts on NHC site, but the South Florida Water Management District, or SFWMD (pronounced “Swift Mud”) does have them on their site. (Click the image for a larger view, as always.)

This shows all of the individual model predictions. Somewhere, you can find what exactly each model is, and all the math behind it. But the NHC seems have moved that page, and I haven’t found it again. (When I lived in Florida, hurricanes were an especially fascinating topic. They still are, but with a little less urgency – for me anyway.) When they all line up – as they do in this case, you can be reasonably certain of a path. The projection published by the NHC is an amalgamation of these models.

But if you think they can predict the weather, you should read the story of Windjammer Cruises’ schooner Fantome. As it says, anything can happen and anything did happen. It wasn’t according to the predictions.

There is a mandatory evacuation order for the Florida Keys, which of course some people are ignoring. But the hospitals are closing and emergency services are going off-line, so anyone who stays, is really on their own. More than most Americans are willing to contemplate. (You can’t call 911, because no one is there.) I would have left yesterday, but then I wouldn’t be living in the Keys.

If I lived in the coastal areas of Georgia or South Carolina I would be getting ready to bug out. And maybe North Carolina as well. (If you’re ready, you can leave at a moments notice. If you’re not ready…)

It Is Worth Repeating Myself – Store Water Ahead of a Hurricane

Even if you don’t usually drink your tap water, in most places in America it is safe to do so. So why not save a little of it ahead of a disaster? Here is what I said previously – with some additional info. At this point you probably can’t buy anything that you can’t find locally. But you can still put water in every pot you own, the bathtub, etc.

I always wonder about why people don’t store water ahead of an emergency. You can go for days or weeks without food. But you can’t go very long without water.

you KNOW a storm is coming, you’re told to put water in the tub. But this fixes things for the squeamish. The WaterBOB holds 100 gallons of water in a state ready for drinking. In your bathtub. Just fill it the day before the storm. (Hat tip Instapundit) 25 bucks for peace of mind? Well worth it to folks in Hurricane Country.

But you can’t carry your bathtub with you if you do need to bug out. The Life Straw will let you drink most sources of water – use your head – without getting sick. It is 15 bucks. (one per family member?) Up to 1000 gallons.

Or the Sawyer products filter – more expensive, but arguably better filtration.

The other way to store water ahead of an emergency is in food-grade barrels or drums. This kit has a 55 gallon barrel, a pump, everything you need – provided you have the room to store it in a garage or somewhere. Additional drums are cheaper. (Most homes in hurricane country don’t have basements.)

Smaller containers are also available if you don’t have room for a drum.

Another option is to use a jerrycan or 5. I like jerrycans since they seem to be a good size for moving and storing liquids. Get one that is food-safe. There are many options.

The standard filter for being in one place is the Big Berkey. This filter has been around for a long time. put the questionable water in the top, and the filtered water is drawn out the bottom.

If you live somewhere like coastal Texas, or Florida, or earthquake country, where you might be facing a regional emergency, then you need to do something besides hope that Walmart has cases of plastic-bottled water AFTER the emergency. (Actually it sounds like those supplies are already in short supply in South Florida.)

Fauxtographer Finally Busted

Because mainstream media can be trusted to be untrustworthy Fake War Photographer Gets Exposed After Fooling the World

Stealing other people’s work. Fake references. This is the story of the man who wasn’t there. The Wall Street Journal. The BBC. Le Monde. They all published this “work.” It was all a con.

One thing that helped Martins weave his fictitious career was the use of prior publications as references for new publications. He placed not only placed tear sheets from prestigious publications such as the Wall Street Journal on social media, but he mailed them to editors when he pitched stories. This helped reduce suspicions, because surely large and prestigious news outlets would vet journalists prior to publishing stories, right?

Of course they did… so why go through the effort of doing it yourself?

Fake news? Well, fake photographs at least.

Do the Math on Renewable Energy

So how much wind energy can you get, and how would you store it for those calm days? Revisiting wind turbine impacts – Erroneous recent calculation highlights need to assess renewable energy sustainability claims | Watts Up With That?

First off, getting energy right is important.

Electricity makes our industries, jobs, travel, communication, living standards, health and safety possible, and demand will certainly grow as more nations electrify

So what do the numbers look like?

replacing the 2.85 terawatts of electricity generated worldwide in 2016 – while ensuring stored power for just 48 windless hours – would require:

14.4 million 1.8-MW turbines … 570 million acres (30% of the Lower 48 US states) … and 1.4 trillion Tesla 100-kWh lithium-ion battery packs!

Need stored electricity for seven windless days? 50 million turbines, the US-Canadian land mass, and 5 trillion battery packs should do it.

“Tesla battery packs” seem to have been added to the units of measure that include things like “Thickness of a human hair.” In other words, completely meaningless.

You need Lithium Ion (or whatever the next generation of small, light batteries are) for your electric car and your phone. You don’t need small, light, expensive batteries to power your home, your business, or anything that doesn’t move. What you need for those situations are cheap batteries, that can take abuse and last forever. (Or a good long time.) I like Iron Edison batteries, but I’m not sure they meet the “cheap” criteria. They do last a good long time.

Anyway go look at the numbers yourself, if you disagree, publish YOUR numbers. And as in High School Math class, show your work.

Disagree with this analysis? Wade in with your own. Let’s have a wide-open debate, before renewable energy activists and politicians lock us into an energy future that might be horrendous for humanity and planet. (Or might save us from calamitous climate change.

Hurricane Harvey: Winding Down Faster Than Expected?

I’m not a meteorologist, and I don’t play one on television, but it looks to me as if the circulation associated with Harvey is coming to an end. Though it could be reforming farther east. (Click the image here and below for larger views.)

That doesn’t mean that there won’t be a lot of rain – the current forecast still calls for about 20 inches over the next day or so in the area bounded by Houston, Austin, San Antonio, and the coast. That is a lot of rain. It also doesn’t mean that the storm couldn’t reorganize over the warm Gulf waters, but right now the forecast calls for the end of tropical-storm-force winds sometime later today.

The main concern will be catastrophic life-threatening flooding due to the very slow movement of Harvey. Storm total rainfall amounts between 15 and 25 inches with isolated amounts of 30 inches or more will be possible generally east of a line from Rockport to Goliad. West of that area up to highway 16, generally 5 to 10 inches of rainfall will be possible. West of highway 16, less than 5 inches of rainfall is expected.

The current conditions favor the creation of tornadoes, which are always a possibility with hurricanes, and they can do a lot of damage, and they can also interfere with emergency personnel trying to deal with the initial event of the storm.

KIII TV in Corpus Christi has a nice interview with the mayor about folks returning home. While there is no prohibition, most of the area is without power. Once the rains move off, the temperature and humidity will climb and mosquitoes will be a problem. No power means no air conditioning.

No power means also no water treatment. The whole area is under a boil water order, but if you have no power do you have a way to boil water? And the request is to produce as little waster water as possible, since there is no power to the waste-water-treatment plants. Add all of that up and ask yourself if waiting a few more days doesn’t make sense.

In terms of the scope of the power outages, as of Saturday afternoon there were about 300,000 households without power in the effected area. That doesn’t seem to cover about 170,000 people in the Houston area, who had their power go out, but now have it back. This isn’t something that will get fixed overnight. How many people were prepared? Hopefully all who stayed put. Texans are a pretty independent bunch, so I don’t think that it will take them too long to put the pieces back together.

Hurricane Harvey: Trying to Leave Now? It’s Too Late

As Harvey grows into a category 4 hurricane, people in the path finally decide to leave. Good luck with that. Hurricane Harvey Shuts Down Corpus Christi, Texas Coast; Residents Still Trying to Flee As Category 4 Landfall Nears | The Weather Channel

One thing happens when you ignore the order to evacuate. You are on your own. (They tell you that in the evacuation order. People still don’t believe it.)

Police in Corpus Christi stopped responding to emergency calls Friday evening as landfall approached. Some residents were still on the roads

Consider that again. Cops won’t respond to your 911 call. That’s what they said in the evacutaion order you ignored. Just because you didn’t believe it, doesn’t mean they didn’t believe it.

The wind is rising, with gusts above 100 MPH. The traffic is already snarled along the Texas coast, and with those wind speeds downed trees and power lines will probably be an issue shortly. You should have left yesterday, or this morning.